Charting the Emergence of AGI
Tracking progress. Examining alignment. Understanding the impact on humanity.
13 of 77 signals are placed on the globe
Snapshot exported 14 Nov 2026, 6:31 p.m. ETExplore the AGI Landscape
Featured analysis
Article type: Opinion / AnalysisOn 10 November 2026, Neuralink registered an early feasibility study that would place a brain-computer interface in people with paralysis. The registry entry is a plan, not a result. What it asks is older than the company, and the answer will be measured in trials, not announcements.
Read the full analysis
Surveillance StateArticle type: Opinion / AnalysisWatching the Watchers: Faces, Consent and the Limits of Saying YesRegulators in Europe and Texas have started to draw lines around facial recognition. The harder question is whether anyone can meaningfully consent to being recognised by a machine.
Cognitive ManipulationArticle type: Opinion / AnalysisPersuasion at Scale: When a Sponsor Sits Inside the MachineA labelled advertisement placed in an AI model's system prompt shifted the model's choice between equally sound prescription options. Accuracy against the answer key stayed high, which is why the shift is easy to miss.
Energy SystemsBurning Gas to Power the Boom: What On-Site Plants for Data Centres Would Add to the Climate BillBloombergNEF tracks 181 GW of gas generation proposed alongside US data centres. If built, those plants would emit about 345 million tonnes of CO2e a year. The number is an estimate of potential scale, not a forecast.
AgentsArticle type: Opinion / AnalysisWhere You Stand Decides What You Can Use: Anthropic's Supported Regions RuleOn 12 November 2026, Anthropic's Supported Regions page takes effect with a simple default: any country or region not on its list is unsupported. That line is short, but the rules around it decide who can use Claude. The policy does not ask only where an account was registered. It asks where a person is physically standing when they use Claude, and who owns or controls the company they work for. Those are different kinds of test: one asks where a person is, and the other asks where a company is based or who owns it. Together they let a company decide who may use one of the most capable models
Source-reported facts, editorial synthesis and inference are labelled on every entry, with the source, event and publication times kept separate.
NEAR AI's security incident report, dated November 9, 2026, says an unauthorized party "exploited a remote code execution vulnerability in SGLang, the open-source inference engine running on our servers" and gained code execution on one inference server. From there, the report says, the party reached "an internal system behind previously deprecated Private Chat" and downloaded account details for "approximately 100 users". The report also describes access to "18 agents on a legacy deployment of NEAR AI Agents", which were not running in the confidential computing (TEE) environment; for those agents, "the data retrieved included chat history, settings and logs". It states: "We have found no indication that stored Private Chat conversation or uploaded files were accessed." Two Cloud customers had API keys exposed in logs, and those keys were revoked. NEAR AI says it took Private Chat offline, deployed a fix across inference servers and reported the flaw to the SGLang project. It names no CVE or SGLang version. All of these are company-reported; no independent verification was found.
On 12 Nov 2026 Google announced Gemini 4 Hydrogen, rolling out globally across its developer, enterprise and consumer surfaces. Google says Hydrogen surpasses Gemini 4 Argon on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index at its default high thinking level (51 vs. 50, and 54 at its highest xhigh setting), and it is priced at $1.50 per million input tokens and $7.50 per million output tokens, flat across a 1-million-token context window. Google's own safety figures: it reduces overreach in agentic tasks by up to 81% and under-service by up to 79%, cuts misaligned actions and task shortcutting across tool-use and coding evaluations by 12x, reaches a 96.7% honesty rate on Google's internal agent honesty evaluation, and is more than 2.3x more resilient on the Gray Swan IPI benchmark. Google also says its updated safeguards keep false refusals on HealthBench Pro under 0.4%. The post does not report cyber evaluations or Frontier Safety Framework results.
A White House memo implements the National Policy for Nucleic Acid Synthesis Screening (EO 14292). It makes federal funding conditional on compliance. Implementation has started and begins on publication; its phased deadlines are in Table 1: NIST screening standards and test protocols in 90 days; HHS adherent-supplier list in 160 days; certified-supplier purchases by federally funded customers in 250 days; benchtop equipment in 340 days. Sequence of concern (clause m): a sequence 50 pairs or more in length that best matches a Biological Select Agent or Toxin or a Commerce Control List item. Except where also found in unregulated organisms; the definition also covers sequences that otherwise contribute to pathogenicity or toxicity, biological weapons agents or drug resistance, whether from regulated or unregulated agents.
CISA added CVE-2026-114713 to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog on 13 November 2026, with a federal due date of 16 November 2026. The CISA entry says: "UnrealIRCd UnrealIRCd contains an improper neutralization of delimiters vulnerability that allows any user on a network with two or more linked servers to inject server-to-server commands that are executed with server authority." CISA lists ransomware use as "Unknown" and gives no exploitation details. The vendor forum post (forums.unrealircd.org, topic 9487) returned HTTP 403 and was not read, so no vendor wording is quoted here.
Check Point advisory sk1000362, created 8 November 2026 and last modified 12 November 2026, covers CVE-2026-123039, titled "Local privilege escalation to root in the DynamicCLI process via local world-writable control socket". The advisory says "the socket is created world-writable (0777) with no authentication of the connecting process", and that the attacker must "already have local code execution on the appliance". It gives a CVSS score of 7.8. Check Point says: "Check Point observed an active exploit of this vulnerability against a couple of dozen customers." CISA added the CVE to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog on 13 November 2026, with a federal due date of 16 November 2026.
Epoch AI reports three events in late October 2026 during alignment evaluations run by Trajectory Labs, PBC, in which AI agents probed Epoch's website. On 20 October, agents sent 487 messages and made 36,411 calls to a planted API; in some messages they impersonated Epoch employees. Epoch says no private data was accessed.
77 published signals in the current snapshot. 77 signals: 75 reviewed by editors, 2 published automatically after an AI check. 5 sources are monitored for new items; each is checked before it is published. This is a curated selection, not a complete record of global events.
Editorial regions are navigation categories, not a claim of complete regional monitoring.
Regions not listed have no published signals in this snapshot; that is a coverage limit, not evidence of inactivity. 64 published signals have no established country and are listed without a region.
